From: "Doug Lee" <douglee at tpg.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Raining at Proserpine
Date: Mon, 30 Oct 2000 06:38:14 +1000
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We have had 75 mm of rain over night and the radar is showing it should be
clearing.
Doug
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Matthew Pearce" <mpearce at theweather.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: OFFTOPIC: Return of "The Cloud"???
Date: Sat, 28 Oct 2000 11:59:31 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2314.1300
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<x-html>
<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1" http-equiv=Content-Type>
<META content="MSHTML 5.00.2314.1000" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi all</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Even though I hate sending offtopic emails, I
thought this may have been of interest to some, given the preoccupation with The
Cloud a few weeks back...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>As seen on the Qld policy statement this
morning:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>An upper trough will amplify over Qld late Sunday
and Monday <BR>generating a cloud and rain over the state. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Love those clouds covering the whole state
:)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Matt Pearce</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>
Date: Mon, 30 Oct 2000 11:10:07 -0500
From: "Leslie R. Lemon" <lrlemon at compuserve.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: 2 Questions
To: "INTERNET:aussie-weather at world.std.com" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
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Jane wrote:
> Footnote: - I wish I could take pics like that but my lightning
photography is
> absolutely non - existent!!!! Now all you need to do is to create a
webpage &
> put the rest up that you obviously have locked away down there.
Stuff deleted
> Shaun Whelan wrote:
>
> > 1/ Just wondering if anybody had any thoughts/comments of the
photo I
> > posted the other day?
> > 2/ Did anybody get the photo I posted the other day?
Yes, I too received it and I completely agree with Jane's sentiments!
Great photo and photos. I look forward to others!
Les
P.S. I hope this is not viewed as too trivial to post to the group. But I
just wanted also to publicly recognize Shaun's work and to commend him for
a job well done.
************************
Leslie R. Lemon
Radar, Severe Storms, & Research Meteorologist
Tel. 816-373-3533, 816-213-3237
E-Mail: lrlemon at compuserve.com
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: Harald Richter <hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: REPORT: OKLAHOMA
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Mon, 30 Oct 2000 10:17:16 -0600 (CST)
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Good morning Clyve,
> Apart from the so called "MAUL",(I like the sound of that word!)I would
> presume some sought of trough/cold front or something was about to the west
> of your location to induce such a moist flow I presume from the south ,would
> it also be true that a tornado outbreak at this time of the year is not to
> common? in your district. regards Clyve Herbert.
In southwesterly flow aloft the Rockies frequently induce lee cyclogenesis.
A surface trough sets up just E of the Rockies, and W of OK.
Southerly or southeasterly trajectories off the Gulf of Mexico
are pretty common in OK in these setups.
There was a cold front sagging into the TX panhandle on the day,
but the initiation of the tornadic storm occured on a very
weak boundary / wind shift line running E-W. It required the OK Mesonet
(station spacings are a few 10s of kilometres) to detect that boundary
in the surface data.
Last Saturday (28 Oct) I encountered an interesting cyclonic shear zone
under the leading edge of a squall line moving E into OK.
As I emerged from a dense precip core with moderate N winds,
I saw raincurtains racing across the freeway from the S!
Then, near Elk City (OK), the 18-wheeler trailer ahead of me starting leaning to the left
at ~ 80 km/h, with its right wheels off the ground.
A curtain of leaves (and dirt?) blew in from my right, just like in a bad movie
script. The trailer stabilised, the leaves disappeared,
and I am left wondering what that whole thing was.
I'll check the Frederick 0.5 deg. velocity at 23:10 UTC and see
whether it was more than cyclonic shear.
From a revived OK,
Harald
--
-------------------------------------------
Harald Richter
NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory
1313 Halley Circle
Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A.
ph.: (405) 366-0430
fax: (405) 579-0808
email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov
web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 02:35:59 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer <mjd at iinet.net.au>
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
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To: "aussie-weather at world.std.com" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Storms rip through Britain and France
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Storms rip through Britain and France
From AP
31oct00
02:45 (AEDT) SEVERE storms
battered Britain and France
today, stranding ferry
passengers at sea, uprooting
trees, disrupting transport and
knocking out power to
thousands of homes.
Authorities said at least four
people were killed.
A spokesman for London's Heathrow Airport, the world's
busiest for
international travellers, said many flights were
delayed or cancelled
because of the weather.
British Airways alone cancelled 66 flights out of
Heathrow and 22
from Gatwick - London's second-largest airport - by
midmorning due
to high winds.
More flights were expected to be grounded, and some
arriving flights
were also diverted.
All flights out of Paris' Charles de Gaulle airport
were temporarily
suspended and France's trains were running at
half-speed.
Much of Britain's rail network was brought to a
standstill by the
storms. The high-speed Eurostar rail service from
London to Paris
and Brussels was halted after winds gusting up to
145kph littered
the track with fallen trees and debris overnight.
A Eurostar spokesman urged customers to delay travel
plans for at
least a day, saying it was unclear when the rail lines
could be
properly cleared. Rail service from central London to
Heathrow
Airport was also cut. Road travel in Britain slowed to
a crawl as well.
Large sections of the M25 highway circling London were
closed as
drainage channels failed to cope with the sheer volume
of water.
Other arteries were also affected.
One person was killed and two seriously injured last
night when a
tree fell onto a busy roadway in southern England,
striking two
passing cars. A motorist was killed last night in
London and another
today in southwest England after his motorcycle
apparently hit a
fallen free.
In France, one person in a car was crushed to death by
a falling tree
this morning in the Seine-Maritime region near the
English Channel
port of Le Havre, officials said.
At sea, six ferries were forced to seek shelter in a
bay on the
southeast coast of England after authorities at the
Dover seaport
decided that gale-force winds and high seas could make
docking
unsafe. Ferry service resumed later in the day. Off
the coast of
France, an Italian cargo ship carrying chemical
products sent out
distress signals as gale-force winds lashed the
Atlantic coast. A
Coast Guard official in Rome said that all 14 people
aboard the vessel
were taken ashore by helicopter.
In southern England, nearly 30,000 homes lost
electricity over the
weekend and early today as winds gusting up to 145kph
snapped
power lines and uprooted trees. Severe flooding forced
families out
of dozens of homes in Wales and southern England.
Two tornados - rare in Britain - were also spawned by
the storms. A
twister struck a trailer park in Selsey, 80 kilometres
southwest of
London early today, injuring two people and leaving a
trail of
wreckage. Eyewitnesses said the tornado came in from
the sea and
swept along the trailer homes, ripping off roofs and
smashing
windows on nearly 200 of the frail wooden structures.
About a dozen
were overturned.
Another tornado hit the coastal town of Bognor Regis,
a few
kilometres east of Selsey, last night, injuring four
people and
damaging hundreds of homes.
Britain's last recorded tornado struck Selsey in
January 1998.
British insurers fear that the storms could be the
most costly since
1990, with damages already estimated to be climbing
past STG2
billion ($A5.46 billion). The storm was expected to
affect other parts
of Europe later today and in the next few days.
High winds were already disrupting some ferry traffic
between
Denmark and Sweden. Denmark's domestic Maersk Air
suspended
flights to the Danish island of Bornholm, located
south of Sweden at
the entrance to the Baltic Sea.
The storm was expected to hit the northern part of
Denmark's main
Jutland peninsula later today. In Norway, gale-force
winds were
forecast for the west coast and flooding was expected
in parts of
the south.
--
Mark Dwyer
Storm Chaser, Photographer & Webmaster of:
Downunder Severe Weather
http://dsw.au.com
and a Member of the Australian Severe Weather Association Inc.
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Les" <les.crossan at virgin.net>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Storms rip through Britain and France
Date: Mon, 30 Oct 2000 19:31:44 -0000
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----- Original Message -----
From: "Mark Dwyer" <mjd at iinet.net.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Monday, October 30, 2000 6:35 PM
Subject: aus-wx: Storms rip through Britain and France
Yup well nasty - small area of deep LP travelling up the English Channel...
Britain shuddered to a stop...
> Two tornados - rare in Britain - were also spawned by
> the storms.
Oh yeah, 33++ reported a year most of them between November & March?????
Rare??? ARGH!!
A
> twister struck a trailer park in Selsey, 80 kilometres
> southwest of
> London early today, injuring two people and leaving a
> trail of
> wreckage. Eyewitnesses said the tornado came in from
> the sea and
> swept along the trailer homes, ripping off roofs and
> smashing
> windows on nearly 200 of the frail wooden structures.
> About a dozen
> were overturned.
Microburst - windows were blown in, not out. Damage caused by straight line
winds.
>
> Another tornado hit the coastal town of Bognor Regis,
> a few
> kilometres east of Selsey, last night, injuring four
> people and
> damaging hundreds of homes.
>
F3 / T7 this one. Gable end of BRICK house beaten down. Hook echo seen on
radar ISOLATED FROM and AHEAD of main CF.... possible MCC / supercell event.
Helicity & convergence *very* high on South Coast of UK.
Both cold fronts were of the "rearward sloping anafront" type, the back edge
of today's event can be seen on http://uksevereweather.org.uk
follow the webcam link.
Plenty to read on the last days action on news://uk.sci.weather
Les (UK)
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 08:36:47 -0800
From: Lindsay Pearce <writer at lisp.com.au>
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aus-wx: WEATHER: Quite cool in the Central Tablelands, new computer blows up!
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Blackheath 8:45am, Tuesday.
Hi all,
Quite cool yesterday in Blackheath, with only 9.5 degrees at my place as the
max. Not much rain though, so far. Coming up to 9am, there's only about 1.5mm in
the gauge for the last 24 hours. Currently its still in single figures (around
9, haven't checked the screen temp) with spitty rain.
On another note, I had just about the worst new computer disaster yesterday, it
was laughable, after I cried, initially. Wrong software came with the computer
(computer came by courier), forgot to include speakers, floppy drive inserted
crookedly and then the computer blew up as I turned it on, after following the
installation instructions perfectly! Turns out, the factory forgot to set it to
Australian voltage! It was on the American setting. So power supply amd maybe
other things are fried. And this is from one of the biggest and best computer
companies in the world! Hmm, at least the support line has been great and
they've thrown in a few freebies...like a half share in the company :-)
As a result, I will only be online periodically with this old computer until the
techie comes to install the new power supply/or take away the computer for more
repairs. Apologies to those personal emails I haven't responded to as yet.
Unfortunately, computer problems are the least of our personal stresses just
now...we are still laughing though, what else can you do!
Cheers, from a cool and lovely Blackheath. The best place in the world to be
stressing out...
Lindsay P.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "David Findlay" <nedz at bigpond.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: RE: aus-wx: SMS messages
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 08:10:35 +1000
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Does it work? I tried to send a message to my CDMA phone and never recieved
it. Does it work with GSM?
Also that radar is *good*! It is raining heavy here. But the local scale
tells me that I am lying and that it isn't.
David
-----Original Message-----
From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
[mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of bussie
Sent: Sunday, 29 October 2000 8:27 PM
To: weather list
Subject: aus-wx: SMS messages
Just found this one. Has free SMS messaging to mobiles in most parts of the
world and also has a link to weather sites which includes ASWA.
Bussie (NE Victoria)
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
X-Sender: mbath at pop.ozemail.com.au
X-Mailer: QUALCOMM Windows Eudora Version 5.0
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 09:33:45 +1100
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Michael Bath <mbath at ozemail.com.au>
Subject: RE: aus-wx: SMS messages
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<x-flowed>
It worked for me - I received a message on my Optus digital about 30
seconds after I pressed send.
http://sms.totalise.com.au/
Moderate showers about on the NSW North Coast at 9.30am, but still waiting
for the low forming over the SE QLD coast to drive the rain periods in.
cheers, Michael
At 08:10 31/10/2000 +1000, you wrote:
>Does it work? I tried to send a message to my CDMA phone and never recieved
>it. Does it work with GSM?
>
>Also that radar is *good*! It is raining heavy here. But the local scale
>tells me that I am lying and that it isn't.
>
>David
=============================================================
Michael Bath mailto:mbath at ozemail.com.au
McLeans Ridges http://australiasevereweather.com/
NE NSW Australia http://www.lightningphotography.com/
ASWA Secretary http://www.severeweather.asn.au/
=============================================================
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
</x-flowed>
From: Harald Richter <hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov>
Subject: aus-wx: OUTLOOK VIC/NSW
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Australian Severe Weather Association)
Date: Mon, 30 Oct 2000 17:10:25 -0600 (CST)
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Just as a thought for bored individuals,
There is a distinct transition zone between a dry and a not-so-dry
boundary layer across a line extending from Mount Gambier (SA) N
through Broken Hill (NSW) and beyond. An upper-level disturbance currently
located WSW of Adelaide should be able to put that PBL moisture to good use later
today by increasing the lapse rates through some upper-level
divergent flow NE of its centre. The model I looked at showed a vort max stalling out
at the coast by 06Z, and little in the way of synoptic lift.
Once again I do not believe the overly pessimistic model.
Rather, I see a chance for convection over W VIC and W NSW later.
Cheers, Harald
--
-------------------------------------------
Harald Richter
NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory
1313 Halley Circle
Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A.
ph.: (405) 366-0430
fax: (405) 579-0808
email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov
web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Adam Mayo" <oyam at bigpond.com>
To: "Australian Severe Weather Mailing List" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: 1 Answer 1 Question
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 11:33:05 +1100
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Hi Shaun,
The photo is just great. We will just have to try harder I think.
Now for my question, I am wondering if it is just our computer, but I can't
access any of the links in the emails, such as Michael Bath's photos and
basically the Australian ones. Les's site from the UK works fine. Can
anyone help. Also we tried to send an entry to the photo competition for
this month but it kept on coming back. Have we been excommunicated????
Judy Mayo.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Ben Quinn" <benquinn at optushome.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: When it rains, it pours!
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 12:59:22 +1000
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Hi Everyone,
Some excellent rain totals around the place to 9am today - some of the
highest totals are:
Baroon Pocket Dam 235mm (!!!!!!!!!!)
Maleny 212
Palmwoods 187
Nambour 174
Carmilla 172
Walla 171
Landsborough 162
Mt Larcom 160
Eumundi 164
Yandina 163
Pomona 139
Peachester 137
Gladstone 131
Bundaberg 129
Monto 119
Here at the western side of Redcliffe i have 102mm in the guage - possibly
minus 18mm which could have been left in the guage from storms a few days
ago. 50mm has fallen between 6:30am and 12pm today
I ended up going for a drive around Nambour/Yandina early this morning -
along with lots of puddle core punching <g> and pottering around the swolen
southern Maroochy river and also Petrie Creek at Nambour, i came across the
most SPECTACULAR spillway SW of Yandina. The water pouring over this thing
sounded like a jumbo jet taking off - it was quite a sight!
Of course i took some pics, and these will be online sometime this afternoon
along with a detailed report on this whole system (with some quite
impressive rainfall rates and wind speeds!). I will post the URL when it's
up
BRING IT
ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "John Woodbridge" <jrw at pixelcom.net>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: RE: aus-wx: When it rains, it pours! (on some)
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 13:13:39 +1000
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AAAAaaaaaaarrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhhhhh, I hate this. Unfair unfair unfair. Mt.
Crosby total to midnight last night for this event 0.0mm. Rain since
midnight around 11mm of light drizzle.
John.
>snip
Subject: aus-wx: When it rains, it pours!
Hi Everyone,
Some excellent rain totals around the place to 9am today - some of the
highest totals are:
Baroon Pocket Dam 235mm (!!!!!!!!!!)
Maleny 212
Palmwoods 187
Nambour 174
Carmilla 172
Walla 171
Landsborough 162
Mt Larcom 160
Eumundi 164
Yandina 163
Pomona 139
Peachester 137
Gladstone 131
Bundaberg 129
Monto 119
Here at the western side of Redcliffe i have 102mm in the guage - possibly
minus 18mm which could have been left in the guage from storms a few days
ago. 50mm has fallen between 6:30am and 12pm today
I ended up going for a drive around Nambour/Yandina early this morning -
along with lots of puddle core punching <g> and pottering around the swolen
southern Maroochy river and also Petrie Creek at Nambour, i came across the
most SPECTACULAR spillway SW of Yandina. The water pouring over this thing
sounded like a jumbo jet taking off - it was quite a sight!
Of course i took some pics, and these will be online sometime this afternoon
along with a detailed report on this whole system (with some quite
impressive rainfall rates and wind speeds!). I will post the URL when it's
up
BRING IT
ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!
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From: "clyve herbert" <mesof5 at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: OUTLOOK VIC/NSW
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 15:27:35 +1100
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Hi Harald.
Looking out of my west window at local time 1521, a small 10 to 20mm hr has
just started up (about 10ks west Geelong).The atmosphere is interesting
today here in the west central district of Vic, good moisture loading up to
about 650/700hpa,cloud base low for a north airstream about 900 to 1100m,
the 900 to 850 flow is about 30+Knots but slows with hight to less than
10kns at around 500hpa there is also a dry layer above 650 to about
350hpa,Wednesday looks very good with the approach of a slow moving
trough,shear is a bit weak though ,although such an atmos: set-up is ok for
front loading storms or squall lines.regards Clyve Herbert.
----- Original Message -----
From: Harald Richter <hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov>
To: Australian Severe Weather Association <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Tuesday, October 31, 2000 10:10 AM
Subject: aus-wx: OUTLOOK VIC/NSW
>
> Just as a thought for bored individuals,
>
> There is a distinct transition zone between a dry and a not-so-dry
> boundary layer across a line extending from Mount Gambier (SA) N
> through Broken Hill (NSW) and beyond. An upper-level disturbance
currently
> located WSW of Adelaide should be able to put that PBL moisture to good
use later
> today by increasing the lapse rates through some upper-level
> divergent flow NE of its centre. The model I looked at showed a vort max
stalling out
> at the coast by 06Z, and little in the way of synoptic lift.
> Once again I do not believe the overly pessimistic model.
> Rather, I see a chance for convection over W VIC and W NSW later.
>
> Cheers, Harald
>
>
> --
> -------------------------------------------
> Harald Richter
> NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory
> 1313 Halley Circle
> Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A.
> ph.: (405) 366-0430
> fax: (405) 579-0808
> email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov
> web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter
> -------------------------------------------
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "clyve herbert" <mesof5 at iprimus.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Lightning to north.
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 15:53:32 +1100
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Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<x-html>
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<META content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1" http-equiv=Content-Type>
<META content="MSHTML 5.00.2722.2800" name=GENERATOR>
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<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Hi all.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>just started to pick up some sparks ,about 100 to
150 ks north of Geelong,regards Clyve H</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>
From: "Ben Quinn" <benquinn at optushome.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: pics + report + LI forecast
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 17:03:06 +1000
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
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<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
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<STYLE></STYLE>
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<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV>Hi Everyone,</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>I have uploaded a report on the system that effected QLD over the last few
days. It includes a summary of significant AWS observations, rainfall
amounts and also the pictures i took this morning</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><A
href="http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/products/reports/2000/october/29-31/index.html">http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/products/reports/2000/october/29-31/index.html</A></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Satellite pictures etc etc will be added by this evening.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>If you look at anything, then let it be this:</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><A
href="http://bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/ben/31-10-200002.html">http://bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/ben/31-10-200002.html</A></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>While i am not disspointed with the picture, it is very hard to convey the
scene with a few words and a still picture. The catchment area for that
dam had over 200mm dumped on it in the 24 hours to 9am, and the sound of the
water slamming down into the creek bank below that spillway was just mind
blowing</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>October has been excellent - roll on Nov/Dec (the best months of our severe
storm season)</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>This LI forecast from AVN is encouraging</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><A
href="http://bsch.simplenet.com/ben/li.gif">http://bsch.simplenet.com/ben/li.gif</A></DIV>
<DIV>(thanks to James Chambers for pointing it out)</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>-10!!!!!! While i don't know what the moisture profile is like etc, AVN is
obviously forecasting some extreme instability. Knowing my luck it'll
either be heavily capped our their will be too much moisture, as i just gave my
old digital camera to my sister in Rockhampton so she can take weather shots for
me :D</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV> </DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>
From: "bussie" <bussie at netc.net.au>
To: "weather list" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Wow!
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 18:59:30 +1100
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Ben wrote:
I have uploaded a report on the system that effected QLD over the last few
days. It includes a summary of significant AWS observations, rainfall
amounts and also the pictures i took this morning.
That's an absolutely awesome shot. And after that amount of rainfall in 24
hours who would argue. We don't need that much here. :-)
Bussie (NE Victoria)
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Ben Quinn" <benquinn at optushome.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: 2 more possible tornadoes
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 18:07:31 +1000
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Hi Carl,
Thanks - i ended up calling both channel 7 and 10 again and they confirmed
that it was actually the town that you talk about. After i saw the report
on channel 10, i called them an asked where it was (they didn't say in the
report) and the person i spoke to said it was just east of Charters Towers -
i call again a day later and i get a whole different story.
Using this site
http://www.auslig.gov.au/mapping/names/names.htm
You can see that there actually is a town called silver valley east of
Charters Towers, along with what they have dubbed a "park or reserve" for
the location you have pointed out.
I have to wonder if (presuming it was a tornado that caused the damage) this
thing stayed on the ground the whole time - i figure people up there are the
same as they are down here. Unless damaged is done to their house or farm
buildings, they probably not going to report it - or if they do it'll be
thrown in during a conversation with the local policeman at the pub a week
later. That is not meant to offend anyone, it's just the way it is.
(that actually happened earlier this year - a next door neighbour of my dads
property at gympie suffered extensive damage to bushland in a long and
narrow stretch after a severe storm, and i only found out about it because
he threw it in during a conversation with my dad at the pub)
----- Original Message -----
From: "Carl Smith" <carls at ace-net.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Monday, October 30, 2000 4:24 AM
Subject: Re: aus-wx: 2 more possible tornadoes
> Hi Ben and All.
>
> >Hi Everyone,
> >
> >Some interesting reports starting to filter in now - those who watched
> >channel 7 or 10 tonight would have seem some very nasty damage in the
> >northern QLD town of Silver Valley, which is just east of Charters
Towers.
> >The damage included a house very badly damaged/pretty much buggered, an
area
> >of forest with it's trees stripped of leaves, and a small plane blown 30m
> >from its original location. A resident said "he walked out the door and
saw
> >it" when the reporter was talking about the Tornado. Winds were
estimated
> >at 200km/h.
>
> Saw it on Channel 7.
>
> The only Nth. Qld. Silver Valley I know of is a loose communty of houses
> scattered along a remote road in the middle of nowhere about 25 miles or
so
> W of Ravenshoe, a few miles to the NNE of Innot Hot Springs, and SSW of
> Herberton, and is nowhere near Charters Towers - I used to live near the
> Millstream between Ravenshoe and Innot Hot Springs.
>
> >
> >I have uploaded a preminary report on this event, which has the same
> >information as i have written above, but also has a selection of data for
> >those interested - including a very interesting radar loop showing the
> >storm, which splits, and the left mover is the storm that moved over
Silver
> >Vallery.
> >
> >http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/products/reports/2000/october/28/index.htm
> >
> >I have labled it a possible tornado as earlier in the evening there was
some
> >doubt - but hopefully the Townsville BOM will inspect the damage (you
would
> >think they will, it really did look quite nasty) and confirm whether it
was
> >a tornado or not.
> >
> >Apparently there was also a news report on the ABC tonight showing damage
in
> >the town of Ravenshoe, in the Atherton Tablelands (i think). The damage
> >included some sheds 'blown away' and trees stripped of leaves AND
branches.
> >Not sure what day this occured - i presume Saturday. They also labled it
a
> >'mini tornado'
> <snip>
>
> Probably the same storm that hit Siver Valley, and probably less than an
> hour later - glad I am not still living under a tarp strung up between the
> eucalypts on the block near the Millstream....
>
> Ravenshoe is about 25 miles or so S of Atherton, and is high on the W
> slopes of the W range of the Atherton Tablelands.
>
> It is in the transition zone between the very wet tablelands climate and
> the much drier inland climate - it more frequently rains on the E side of
> the town and is far drier on the W side - the transition over 3 or 4 km is
> quite startling.
>
> It also boasts the highest pub in Queensland, which has nothing to do with
> the amount of weed smoked there......:-)
>
> Regards,
> Carl.
>
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 18:13:25 +1000
From: Anthony Cornelius <cyclone at bigpond.net.au>
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.76 [en] (Win98; U)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: pics + report + LI forecast
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Ben,
Good report! Geez, I didn't realise you had a hard drive failure too!
Talk about a double-whammy! Cable was down for most of this morning
too, so no luck there either.
If anyone has sat pics for the past 48hrs (28hrs from 0800Z 31/10), I'd
really appreciate it if you could email them to me, just GMSD would do
fine!
If anyone has archives from October 25/26 I'd really appreciate it if I
could get a few things off you too. As the HD that died was the archive
one (due to "extreme use!") and I hadn't had time to copy it all onto CD
yet.
Thanks very much!
Anthony Cornelius
PS - Was an interesting observation I thought, that the day with the
best LI's last week <Friday> actually flopped.
> Ben Quinn wrote:
>
> Hi Everyone,
>
> I have uploaded a report on the system that effected QLD over the last
> few days. It includes a summary of significant AWS observations,
> rainfall amounts and also the pictures i took this morning
>
> http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/products/reports/2000/october/29-31/index.html
>
> Satellite pictures etc etc will be added by this evening.
>
> If you look at anything, then let it be this:
>
> http://bsch.simplenet.com/pictures/ben/31-10-200002.html
>
> While i am not disspointed with the picture, it is very hard to convey
> the scene with a few words and a still picture. The catchment area
> for that dam had over 200mm dumped on it in the 24 hours to 9am, and
> the sound of the water slamming down into the creek bank below that
> spillway was just mind blowing
>
> October has been excellent - roll on Nov/Dec (the best months of our
> severe storm season)
>
> This LI forecast from AVN is encouraging
>
> http://bsch.simplenet.com/ben/li.gif
> (thanks to James Chambers for pointing it out)
>
> -10!!!!!! While i don't know what the moisture profile is like etc,
> AVN is obviously forecasting some extreme instability. Knowing my
> luck it'll either be heavily capped our their will be too much
> moisture, as i just gave my old digital camera to my sister in
> Rockhampton so she can take weather shots for me :D
>
>
--
Anthony Cornelius
Queensland Coordinator of the Australian Severe Weather Association
(ASWA)
(07) 3390 4812
14 Kinsella St
Belmont, Brisbane
QLD, 4153
Please report severe thunderstorms on our Queensland severe thunderstorm
reporting line on (07) 3390 4218 or by going to our homepage at
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Desley Absolon" <mystyle at bigpond.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: RE: aus-wx: 2 more possible tornadoes
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 18:33:35 +1000
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Hi Everyone,
Long time no speak...but it is THAT time of the year again, when the local
radio station is going into "Cyclone Preparation" mode...but I think after
three almost direct hits in three years it will probably be someone else's
turn this year.
With regard to the Tornado..the front page of the Cairns Post today shows a
coloured photograph of the damage to the home at Silver Valley. Text reads,
in part:
"Tornado wrecks rural home" by Lea Blakesley
A silver Valley couple yesterday said they feared for their lives as a
ferocious mini-tornado ripped through their home.
The rare weather event hit the isolated small community, west of Ravenshoe
on the Atherton Tableland, at about 5pm Saturday, wreaking a path of
destruction in about five minutes.
Hank Peeters and Sandra Brown bore the brunt of the 200km/hr-plus winds
which destroyed an outhouse, comprising two bedrooms and a storeroom, and
ripped off the roof of the main part of their fibro home, which was flooded
with more than 12cm of water.
The couple, who had farewelled visitors just before the tornado hit, were
forced to spend the night in nearby Innot Hot springs before returning to
their home on Sunday.
Neighbours reported some minor structural damage while vegetation along the
road also was damaged.
Hank and Sandra said they watched for 30 minutes as the tornado, initially
thought to be a storm, approached.
"We are used to storms here but we never anticipated it was going to be as
severe as it was," said Mr. Peeters, who had never seen anything like it in
his 18 years in the valley. "I remember thinking the house was going to
go".
The couple was dumbfounded and shocked when they saw the devastation after
the storm had passed.
Roofing iron and firbreglass were strewn more than 200metres away from the
house, with some sheets pierced through and wrapped around trees.
Trees, demarked and stripped of their leaves, were uprooted and twisted
while thick, timber pickets were embedded in the ground.
"We'd had some good wind before, the type you get from a storm but this was
completely unexpected." Ms. Brown said.
............................................................
SES disaster operations officer Bob McZLagan, who was among the helpers,
said the hail was phenomenal.
"It was one foot deep in some places" he said.
"I have never seen the explosive type damage before."
Cairns Bureau of Meteorology forecaster Mike Marrinan said mini-tornadoes -
which develop at the base of severe thunderstorms - were reasonably rare in
the tropics.
Mr. Marrinan said a typical tornado would have wind speeds of more than 200
km/h.
End of Quote.
Hope you found that little bit of local interpretation interesting.
Regards,
Desley in Cairns
Desley Absolon
-----Original Message-----
From: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
[mailto:aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com]On Behalf Of Carl Smith
Sent: Monday, 30 October 2000 4:24 AM
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: 2 more possible tornadoes
Hi Ben and All.
>Hi Everyone,
>
>Some interesting reports starting to filter in now - those who watched
>channel 7 or 10 tonight would have seem some very nasty damage in the
>northern QLD town of Silver Valley, which is just east of Charters Towers.
>The damage included a house very badly damaged/pretty much buggered, an
area
>of forest with it's trees stripped of leaves, and a small plane blown 30m
>from its original location. A resident said "he walked out the door and
saw
>it" when the reporter was talking about the Tornado. Winds were estimated
>at 200km/h.
Saw it on Channel 7.
The only Nth. Qld. Silver Valley I know of is a loose communty of houses
scattered along a remote road in the middle of nowhere about 25 miles or so
W of Ravenshoe, a few miles to the NNE of Innot Hot Springs, and SSW of
Herberton, and is nowhere near Charters Towers - I used to live near the
Millstream between Ravenshoe and Innot Hot Springs.
>
>I have uploaded a preminary report on this event, which has the same
>information as i have written above, but also has a selection of data for
>those interested - including a very interesting radar loop showing the
>storm, which splits, and the left mover is the storm that moved over Silver
>Vallery.
>
>http://www.bsch.simplenet.com/products/reports/2000/october/28/index.htm
>
>I have labled it a possible tornado as earlier in the evening there was
some
>doubt - but hopefully the Townsville BOM will inspect the damage (you would
>think they will, it really did look quite nasty) and confirm whether it was
>a tornado or not.
>
>Apparently there was also a news report on the ABC tonight showing damage
in
>the town of Ravenshoe, in the Atherton Tablelands (i think). The damage
>included some sheds 'blown away' and trees stripped of leaves AND branches.
>Not sure what day this occured - i presume Saturday. They also labled it a
>'mini tornado'
<snip>
Probably the same storm that hit Siver Valley, and probably less than an
hour later - glad I am not still living under a tarp strung up between the
eucalypts on the block near the Millstream....
Ravenshoe is about 25 miles or so S of Atherton, and is high on the W
slopes of the W range of the Atherton Tablelands.
It is in the transition zone between the very wet tablelands climate and
the much drier inland climate - it more frequently rains on the E side of
the town and is far drier on the W side - the transition over 3 or 4 km is
quite startling.
It also boasts the highest pub in Queensland, which has nothing to do with
the amount of weed smoked there......:-)
Regards,
Carl.
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 19:21:13 +1100 (AEDT)
From: Jonty Hall <jdh at vortex.shm.monash.edu.au>
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: pics + report + LI forecast
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Ben,
The MRF has been consistent with this LI peaking at -8 to -10 for several
runs now - CAPE is progged to peak at over 2000 J/Kg in the area. GASP is
very similar as well. Even better, the winds look pretty good, with
sfc-600 shears of 45 knots - if the surface holds northerly, then helicity
would be in the hundreds. Upper jet is well positioned over central
Australia and running >100 knots. Plenty of moisture with low level dew
points in low 20s. Capping may be the only problem as you say, but it
doesn't look too strong on the current model runs, and they have
reasonably strong low level convergence associated with this fairly sharp
trough approaching the area. Certainly worth keeping an extra close eye on
for Thursday and Friday in Wide Bay/Burnett and Capricornia areas.
I move back up to Brisbane in about 2 weeks - I wish it was 2 days!!!!
Cheers,
Jonty.
____________________________________________________________________
Jonty Hall jonty.hall at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology Training Centre
GPO BOX 1289K
Melbourne, Victoria 3001
Ph +61 3 9669 4105
____________________________________________________________________
On Tue, 31 Oct 2000, Ben Quinn wrote:
> Hi Everyone,
>
>
[snip]
> This LI forecast from AVN is encouraging
>
> http://bsch.simplenet.com/ben/li.gif
> (thanks to James Chambers for pointing it out)
>
> -10!!!!!! While i don't know what the moisture profile is like etc, AVN is obviously forecasting some extreme instability. Knowing my luck it'll either be heavily capped our their will be too much moisture, as i just gave my old digital camera to my sister in Rockhampton so she can take weather shots for me :D
>
>
>
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
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Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 19:41:31 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
From: Jimmy Deguara <jdeguara at ihug.com.au>
Subject: aus-wx: web site: Off Topic
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
<x-flowed>
I know that it is off topic, but I have had a few e-mails of people
wondering or confused about the Australian Severe Weather web site by
Michael Bath and I.
Our old URL was
http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ Although it works, our
new URL is the domain name:
http://australiasevereweather.com please note the difference
especially australian as sompared to australia in both URL spread the
domain name URL the second one listed here please.
Apparently there has been problems with some traffic in Australia and this
includes accessing our site. It is funny though that I could access our
site without a proxy setting and had problems with the proxy setting ie
with IHUG. Keep this in mind.
Cheers. A few weeks to go to the Big Chase. If you have time off at the
time or can go a few days even, team up and meet some others to chase as
well. Always is fun.
-----------------------------------------
Jimmy Deguara
Storm Chaser and Mathematics Teacher
from
Schofields, Sydney
NSW Australia
e-mail:jdeguara at ihug.com.au
Web Page with Michael Bath
Australian Severe Weather Home Page
http://www.australiasevereweather.com
President of the Australian Severe Weather Association
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
</x-flowed>
From: "bussie" <bussie at netc.net.au>
To: "weather list" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: Murray river
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 20:14:01 +1100
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I have seen the Murray river levels today and it has dropped probably 4-6
inches today in Corowa. Still plenty of water about over there but dropping.
Bussie (NE Victoria)
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "Michael Thompson" <michaelt at ozemail.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Objects that attract lightning
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 21:45:13 +1100
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Regarding the thread about objects that attract lightning, I know of some
that detract lightning.
The sight of my video or SLR camera is known to kill electrical activity
dead in it's tracks. I have not been able to pin a scientific reason on why
this is. The same equipment also has a similar affect on hail.
I have thought about placing these objects in a mysterious black box adding
a few dongles and hiring the said equipment to fruit growers as a hail
repellent device.
Michael
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From: "Michael Thompson" <michaelt at ozemail.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: Re: aus-wx: OUTLOOK VIC/NSW
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 21:59:19 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Harold
I suppose it may be too late by the time you get this message, but the
lightning tracker at
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/
pretty much gives your forecast a thumbs up, lots of lightning in line from
three corners ( border of NSW/QLD/SA ) down through Mt Gambier and out into
the southern ocean. Probably the largest line of lightning I have seen on
this tracker, mind you it has only been available for a short time.
Michael
----- Original Message -----
From: "Harald Richter" <hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov>
To: "Australian Severe Weather Association" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Tuesday, 31 October 2000 10:10
Subject: aus-wx: OUTLOOK VIC/NSW
>
> Just as a thought for bored individuals,
>
> There is a distinct transition zone between a dry and a not-so-dry
> boundary layer across a line extending from Mount Gambier (SA) N
> through Broken Hill (NSW) and beyond. An upper-level disturbance
currently
> located WSW of Adelaide should be able to put that PBL moisture to good
use later
> today by increasing the lapse rates through some upper-level
> divergent flow NE of its centre. The model I looked at showed a vort max
stalling out
> at the coast by 06Z, and little in the way of synoptic lift.
> Once again I do not believe the overly pessimistic model.
> Rather, I see a chance for convection over W VIC and W NSW later.
>
> Cheers, Harald
>
>
> --
> -------------------------------------------
> Harald Richter
> NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory
> 1313 Halley Circle
> Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A.
> ph.: (405) 366-0430
> fax: (405) 579-0808
> email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov
> web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter
> -------------------------------------------
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> To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
> with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
From: "dencot" <dencot at alphalink.com.au>
To: "Aussie Weather Mail-Post" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: jet stream with fronts-vic. australia
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 22:27:33 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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<x-html>
<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<META content="MSHTML 5.50.4207.2601" name=GENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><FONT face="Times New Roman" size=3>The interaction
of the jet stream with fronts in a high humidity situation over victoria I think
would be a great situation for big thunderstorms. Am I right or wrong? Can
anybody help me?</FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><FONT face="Times New Roman" size=3>I live in Nth.
Bayswater Vic. Aus. and and would love weather emails from anybody when there
are thunder storms in our area.</FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><FONT face="Times New Roman"
size=3></FONT></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><FONT face="Times New Roman"
size=3>Dennis</FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><FONT face="Times New Roman"
size=3></FONT></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><FONT face="Times New Roman" size=3><A
href="mailto:dencot at alphalink.com.au">dencot at alphalink.com.au</A></FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2> </DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV></FONT></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 19:32:01 +0800
From: Mark Dwyer <mjd at iinet.net.au>
X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.72 [en] (Win98; I)
X-Accept-Language: en
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: Objects that attract lightning
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Michael T,
Hmmm anything to do with Murphy and his stupid Law's ? , As he is the scourge
of all Storm Chasers and Severe Weather Photographers.
MJ.
Michael Thompson wrote:
> Regarding the thread about objects that attract lightning, I know of some
> that detract lightning.
>
> The sight of my video or SLR camera is known to kill electrical activity
> dead in it's tracks. I have not been able to pin a scientific reason on why
> this is. The same equipment also has a similar affect on hail.
>
> I have thought about placing these objects in a mysterious black box adding
> a few dongles and hiring the said equipment to fruit growers as a hail
> repellent device.
>
> Michael
>
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> To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail to:majordomo at world.std.com
> with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of your
> message.
> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
--
Mark Dwyer
Storm Chaser, Photographer & Webmaster of:
Downunder Severe Weather
http://dsw.au.com
and a Member of the Australian Severe Weather Association Inc.
http://www.severeweather.asn.au
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
X-Authentication-Warning: zeppo.maths.monash.edu.au: robert owned process doing -bs
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 22:40:24 +1100 (EDT)
From: Robert Goler <robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au>
X-Sender: robert at zeppo.maths.monash.edu.au
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: Re: aus-wx: OUTLOOK VIC/NSW
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
And
http://www.marine.csiro.au/~lband/weather/SA20576.gif
showed the storms nicely.
On Tue, 31 Oct 2000, Michael Thompson wrote:
> Hi Harold
>
> I suppose it may be too late by the time you get this message, but the
> lightning tracker at
>
> http://www.weatherzone.com.au/
>
> pretty much gives your forecast a thumbs up, lots of lightning in line from
--
Robert A. Goler
E-mail robert at mail.maths.monash.edu.au
http://www.maths.monash.edu.au/~robert/
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Monash University
Clayton, Vic 3800
Australia
--
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-----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
X-Originating-IP: [203.109.250.95]
From: "Paul Graham" <v_notch at hotmail.com>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Subject: aus-wx: NSW STA
Date: Tue, 31 Oct 2000 23:02:16 +1100
X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.2615.200
X-OriginalArrivalTime: 31 Oct 2000 11:59:40.0694 (UTC) FILETIME=[0CB44360:01C04332]
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Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Hi Michael, everyone, looks like one or two of those storms are pretty
big...An advice is current:
IDW16N00
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ADVICE
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
NEW SOUTH WALES REGIONAL OFFICE
Issued at 2138 on Tuesday the 31st of October 2000
This advice affects people in the following weather districts:
Lower Western.
Thunderstroms are currently being observed just south of Broken Hill and
are moving east slowly.
Thunderstorms are forecast within the advice area from 2130 to 2400. Some
of these are expected to be severe bringing large hailstones, damaging
winds and very heavy rainfall.
----- Original Message -----
From: Michael Thompson <michaelt at ozemail.com.au>
To: <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
Sent: Tuesday, October 31, 2000 9:59 PM
Subject: Re: aus-wx: OUTLOOK VIC/NSW
> Hi Harold
>
> I suppose it may be too late by the time you get this message, but the
> lightning tracker at
>
> http://www.weatherzone.com.au/
>
> pretty much gives your forecast a thumbs up, lots of lightning in line
from
> three corners ( border of NSW/QLD/SA ) down through Mt Gambier and out
into
> the southern ocean. Probably the largest line of lightning I have seen on
> this tracker, mind you it has only been available for a short time.
>
> Michael
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Harald Richter" <hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov>
> To: "Australian Severe Weather Association" <aussie-weather at world.std.com>
> Sent: Tuesday, 31 October 2000 10:10
> Subject: aus-wx: OUTLOOK VIC/NSW
>
>
> >
> > Just as a thought for bored individuals,
> >
> > There is a distinct transition zone between a dry and a not-so-dry
> > boundary layer across a line extending from Mount Gambier (SA) N
> > through Broken Hill (NSW) and beyond. An upper-level disturbance
> currently
> > located WSW of Adelaide should be able to put that PBL moisture to good
> use later
> > today by increasing the lapse rates through some upper-level
> > divergent flow NE of its centre. The model I looked at showed a vort
max
> stalling out
> > at the coast by 06Z, and little in the way of synoptic lift.
> > Once again I do not believe the overly pessimistic model.
> > Rather, I see a chance for convection over W VIC and W NSW later.
> >
> > Cheers, Harald
> >
> >
> > --
> > -------------------------------------------
> > Harald Richter
> > NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory
> > 1313 Halley Circle
> > Norman, OK 73069, U.S.A.
> > ph.: (405) 366-0430
> > fax: (405) 579-0808
> > email: hrichter at enterprise.nssl.noaa.gov
> > web: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~hrichter
> > -------------------------------------------
> > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
> > To unsubscribe from aussie-weather send e-mail
to:majordomo at world.std.com
> > with "unsubscribe aussie-weather your_email_address" in the body of
your
> > message.
> > -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
> >
>
>
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> -----------------------jacob at iinet.net.au------------------------------
>
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